Calendar-year total return (%)

Signal column is green when the rotation portfolio beat the 34/33/33 daily-rebalanced baseline that year, red when it underperformed. A red row is the answer to "did we lose to just holding the equal-weight?".

Year Signal Rotation Baseline (34/33/33) SPY buy-and-hold GLD buy-and-hold IGV buy-and-hold
2016-1.4%-1.4%+7.7%-14.6%+3.5%
2017+24.2%+24.2%+20.8%+11.9%+40.7%
2018+3.7%+1.4%-5.2%-3.1%+11.2%
2019+33.9%+28.5%+31.1%+17.8%+35.0%
2020+57.0%+31.8%+17.2%+23.9%+50.1%
2021+15.4%+12.8%+30.5%-6.2%+14.5%
2022-6.1%-17.7%-18.6%+0.8%-34.9%
2023+33.1%+31.6%+26.7%+11.8%+58.2%
2024+28.3%+27.2%+25.6%+27.0%+26.9%
2025+43.8%+27.6%+18.0%+61.5%+5.8%
2026 (YTD)-3.7%-1.8%+9.3%-6.6%-10.8%
All-time cumulative+584.0%+311.6%+315.5%+189.6%+339.4%